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Interest Rates: John Williams Does Not Expect the Fed to Raise Rates in 2027

New York Fed President John Williams ruled out further interest rate hikes in 2027, causing the dollar to fall and markets to rally.

Updated on 4 min read

Automatic translation of the original article from French. Lire en français

Photo illustrating: Federal Reserve Bank New York
Photo: Kidfly182 · CC BY 4.0. Source: Wikimedia Commons

Key points

  • John Williams, president of the New York Fed, estimates that no key rate increases will be required in 2027 after a possible increase this year, according to Bloomberg and CNBC.
  • This analysis diverges from derivative market expectations, which incorporate almost 90% of rate increases by the end of 2027, according to CME FedWatch data reported by CNBC.
  • The central banker's statements weighed on the dollar and encouraged the rebound of Asian equities as well as bitcoin, returned nearly $83,900 according to CoinDesk.
  • The US inflation report is expected on Thursday, according to CoinDesk, while the Journal du Coin mentioned it on Wednesday at 2.30 p.m.

John Williams Statements and Rate Advances

The president of the New York Federal Reserve, John Williams, stated that he was not considering further increases in key interest rates in 2027, according to an interview given to Bloomberg News and reported by CNBC. The central banker maintained his view that an additional monetary screw could be appropriate this year, but indicated that he had no current reason to believe that further tightening would be required thereafter. John Williams is a permanent voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the body that decides interest rates at each Central Bank meeting. This speech comes after the monetary institution raised its rates in September for the first time since 2023.

This perspective deviates from the expected trajectory of financial operators. According to the CME FedWatch statistics reported by CNBC, on Tuesday, operators on futures contracts for federal funds estimated that on Tuesday, with a nearly 90% probability, the policy rate would end in 2027 at least half a percentage point above its current level. Within the FOMC, eight of the 18 members who made a projection of rates also expect a further increase in 2027 after the increase in 2026. John Williams pointed out that the evolution of macroeconomic data, with activity facing multiple factors, should be examined.

Inflation factors between energy and advanced technologies

In explaining his projections, John Williams pointed to the persistence of disinflationary forces, according to comments by CNBC and the Journal du Coin. The president of the New York Fed anticipates a significant fall in inflation next year and believes that the annual rate of price increase should approach the 2% target by 2027. As a benchmark, the August ECP price index, a preferred barometer by the Fed, showed an increase of 3.4% over twelve months, or 3% without food and energy, reports CNBC. Williams also found that the impact of tariffs on tariff dynamics was largely already visible.

However, sectoral tensions remain active. According to Cointelegraph, John Williams indicated that catching up with the supply of artificial intelligence equipment on demand could take more than two years, increasing the cost of components and semiconductors. He said he expected that investments in artificial intelligence would remain strong, as investors were not sensitive to changes in rates. In terms of energy, Brent's barrel grew by 0.7 per cent to $106 following attacks in the Middle East that raised uncertainties about sea transit from the Persian Gulf, while US crude oil was increasing for the fifth consecutive session, according to CoinDesk and the Coin Journal.

Reactions on currencies and international actions

John Williams' remarks weighed on the US dollar, whose index was on Tuesday at around 102.50, its peak since April 2025, reports the Journal du Coin. This relaxation has benefited stock markets. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 reduced its losses on Tuesday, and its futures earned 0.2% on Wednesday at a record level last week, according to CoinDesk.

In Asia, the Asia-Pacific MSCI index recovered 0.7% after reaching its lowest closing level since August, according to CoinDesk and the Journal du Coin. The manufacturers of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix semiconductors have interrupted a sequence of five consecutive days of withdrawal, according to CoinDesk. The industry's business calendar includes ASML results publications this Wednesday and TSMC Thursday, according to CoinDesk and the Coin Journal.

Rebound of digital assets and statistical calendar

In the cryptocurrency market, the bitcoin rose by 1.5 per cent just under $83,900 on Wednesday morning in Asia, according to CoinDesk and the Journal du Coin, after going down the previous day to $83,200 at the end of $771 million in liquidations, according to the Journal du Coin. Among the other digital assets followed by CoinDesk, the CEZ grew by almost 7% to approximately $1,270, SOL and DOGE increased by 2.5%, and ether increased by 2% to $2,520, while XRP, BNB and HYPE took between 1% and 2%, with TRX winning less than 1%. On 14 October 2026 at 11:49 a.m., CoinGecko reported a bitcoin price of €74,309.00, a decrease of 0.52% over 24 hours. On October 14, 2026, at 11.41 a.m., gold was traded at $4,165.20 per ounce, down 0.29%, according to Yahoo Finance.

In terms of listed funds, US Bitcoin ETFs recorded $109.8 million in net inflows on Tuesday according to Farside Investors quoted by the Coin Journal, Fidelity attracting $103.1 million and Morgan Stanley 6.7 million, The Block estimating the total at approximately $175 million. In business, Strive purchased 3,311 bitcoins for $280 million at an average price of approximately $84,500, increasing its reserve to 32,773 BTC, while planning to raise up to $500 million via a fixed dividend SATS preferential share of 15%, according to the Journal du Coin. Michael Saylor has indicated on social media that the asset is at the beginning of a bull market, and Ki Young Ju by CryptoQuant lists twelve to twenty-four months of progress or stagnation, according to the Journal du Coin. Finally, the timing of the release of September's US inflation is the subject of differing reports: CoinDesk announces this report by Thursday, while the Journal du Coin placed it at 2.30 p.m. on Wednesday with a consensus expected to reach 3.7% over one year. According to the Journal du Coin, Thailand also plans to open its Stock Exchanges to the Bitcoin ETFs and Ether on Friday, 16 October.

Instruments cited

Corrections et mises à jour

  1. CorrectionDetected by automated checks

    Selon CoinDesk, le rapport sur l'inflation américaine a été publié mercredi matin, indiquant un CPI mensuel de 0,6 % et un CPI annuel de 3,7 %. Le Bitcoin a chuté à 82 800 $ suite à ces chiffres.

    Source of the correction (opens in new tab)
  2. Last updatedDetected by automated checks

    Selon CoinDesk, l'inflation américaine a atteint 3,7 % sur un an en septembre, ce qui a entraîné un recul du bitcoin et des marchés d'actions.

    Source of the correction (opens in new tab)
  3. CorrectionDetected by automated checks

    Selon Le Figaro, BFM Business et CNBC, c'est Kevin Warsh, le président de la Réserve fédérale, qui s'est exprimé à Bangkok sur l'IA et la politique monétaire, et non John Williams.

    Source of the correction (opens in new tab)

Sources

Sources consulted for this article. The links open the publisher's website.

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